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In this post, I will be reviewing the book Dollarlogic: A Six-Day Plan to Achieve Higher Investment Returns by Conquering Risk by Andy Martin.
Disclosure: This book review is not sponsored by Career Press, Inc., the publisher of Dollarlogic, nor by the author. As a result, the thoughts expressed in this review are unfiltered and unbiased. However, FinanceSuperhero was fortunate to receive a signed and dedicated copy of the book from the author.
Dollarlogic is available for purchase now via a variety of outlets; all links to the book contained within this review are Amazon affiliate links.
ABOUT THE AUTHOR
As an active investment advisor and mutual fund manager, Andy Martin boasts a unique combination of hands-on advisor/investor experience and a deep research base of novel investment ideas. He began his investment career with Merrill Lynch and is cofounder and president of 7Twelve Advisors, LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor, and registered representative, general securities principal with FINRA member firm, Girard Securities, Inc. Martin has worked in virtually every part of the securities industry, including operations, sales, management, product development, research, and compliance. His research has been published or reviewed in a wide variety of journals and publications. He is Series 7, 24, 53, and 65 licensed, is a graduate of Belmont University (BBA in economics), and Vanderbilt University (MLAS), and lives in Nashville, Tennessee.
For more information about Martin and 7Twelve Advisors, LLC, visit the 7Twelve website. You can also follow him on Twitter.
THE REVIEW
If the stock market was up 12% in a given year, what would you expect the return on your portfolio to be? If the stock market was down 12% in a given year, what would you expect the loss on your portfolio to be?
The above questions are just two shining examples of the critical questions Andy Martin poses in his quest to redefine the popular notion of investment risk while guiding the average investor toward greater introspection, wiser investing habits, and greater wealth.
As the title suggests, Martin, a 30 year industry veteran, lays out a six-day plan to achieving higher investment returns. This plan hinges upon one key fundamental: the minimization of risk, or what Martin calls dollarlogic. Explains Martin
You have heard it your entire life, and it is wrong. Risk does not equal reward. If it did, why would you wear a seat belt?
Many readers may initially be shaken by such a sudden challenge to their investment paradigm, but Martin’s evidence is compelling.
On Day 1, he leads readers to THINK about the fundamentals of risk and develop a healthy aversion to risk. By presenting a variety of statistics, financial and otherwise, Martin demonstrates several surprising truths about risk:
- Acting in supposed “less-risky” ways can actually put you at more risk
- A majority of successful entrepreneurs, while they may appear to be risk-takers, are actually risk-averse
- The media perpetuates countless risk myths by misrepresenting statistics through sensationalist language (i.e. “The DOW plunged 45 points today”)
On Day 2, Martin makes a compelling argument, backed by decades of market statistics, that stocks are actually less risky than bonds. How could that be possible? As the chapter subheading states, “Your objectives, not the investment, determine the investment’s risk.”
What is an investor to do? On Day 3, Martin recommends surprising advice:
Seek lower returns.
While this sounds like nonsense at first, Martin makes a compelling argument that minimizing losses is far more valuable than maximizing returns. He provides an example of just how devastating losses can be based upon one year losses of 25% and 50% on a $10,000 investment:
- If you lose 25%, or $2,500, you have to make 33.5% on your remaining $7,500 in the following year in order to break even.
- If you lose 50%, or $5,000, you have to make 100% on your remaining $5,000 in the following year in order to break even.
Martin also proves that higher average returns, while a worthwhile statistic, are not always indicative of greater portfolio value due to the principles of geometric average and compound returns.
On Day 4, Martin exhorts readers to predict themselves, not the market. He reasons that an understanding of your goals and desired outcomes is much more valuable than an attempt to predict the market based upon past results. With poignant simplicity, he advises readers to consider where they are going instead of dwelling on where the market is going.
Days 5 and 6 are focused on the nuts and bolts of a wealth management plan. To the dismay of do-it-yourself investors, Martin recommends hiring a trustworthy, well-credentialed financial advisor who is a good fit with your personal temperament and objectives to manage a diversified portfolio which aligns with your objectives; his reasons are compelling, to say the least.
In my opinion, the one flaw contained in Dollarlogic may be information overload; for a book written for the average investor, many of the graphs and figures require a great deal of mental gymnastics for the non-investment professional to decipher.
In the end, it is ultimately the witty humor, Martin’s personal anecdotes, and the countless memorable and decisively true statements that drive Dollarlogic. As Martin states in his Introduction, Dollarlogic is not a book, per se, but a six-day investment management plan. While that kind of description might serve to turn away many readers, Martin expertly interweaves stories and investment principles in entertaining fashion. He concludes the Epilogue by quoting philosopher William James, who said
The greatest use of life is to spend it for something that will outlast it.
In one blogger’s opinion, Andy Martin has written an investment management plan designed to help the average investor do exactly that.
If you haven’t yet read Dollarlogic, order your copy from Amazon today. Don’t forget to follow Andy Martin on Twitter (@dollarlogic).
Readers, do you think the statement “Risk ≠ Reward” is accurate? Do you structure your investments to maximize returns or minimize losses? Do you have an accurate view of your own future?
FinanciaLibre says
July 14, 2016 at 8:15 AMNice overview, Hero.
That whole “risk equals reward” logic has gotten mangled in the popular vernacular.
It’s central to Modern Portfolio Theory that incremental risk results in incremental positive returns, as long as you’re moving toward or along the efficient frontier.
So, the logic is right when articulated properly. And ludicrous when stated the way most people seem to think of it. How’s it make any sense that riskier acts always make you better off??
I’m not sure Martin’s advice to “seek lower returns” is right on the money. Maybe “seek safer returns” would be better… As Graham tells us: First rule of intelligent investor club, do not lose. Second rule of intelligent investor club, do not lose.
Thanks for the good review, Hero.
Hero says
July 14, 2016 at 9:57 PMThanks for the great comment, FinancialLibre. I think your phrase (“seek safer returns”) is the actually the crux of Martin’s argument.
I really love the Graham quotes; believe it or not, I hadn’t been exposed to them previously, to my knowledge.
Aaron @IncomeHoncho says
July 14, 2016 at 8:43 AMI believe in keeping it simple and go with it. You’re right, too much information can cloud your judgement and you will not go anywhere. OF course, everyone will want maximize returns, it’s all about balancing what you want and what you’re comfortable with.
Hero says
July 14, 2016 at 9:54 PMI agree, Aaron. Martin writes eloquently about the value of predicting your future self and understanding your needs and objectives. He makes a compelling case that this information is most important.
Vicki@Make Smarter Decisions says
July 14, 2016 at 5:17 PMAs much as the book may be information overload for some folks, I think it is always good to have books that have that information too. As a person’s understanding deepens, they can re-visit parts that were confusing when they first read it. Nice review!
Hero says
July 14, 2016 at 9:52 PMYou’re absolutely correct, Vicki. I won’t lie; some of the graphs and data stretched me beyond my comfort zone. I just noticed that even the author’s father ribs him about the difficulty of the data in an Amazon review! But I learned a lot from applying critical thinking and patience when studying the graphs and data, making the lessons learned far more memorable.
Brian Lund says
July 14, 2016 at 5:28 PMSounds very interesting. Especially this: “Predict yourself, not the market”. I think a big part of doing well in investments is knowing how you’ll react to new information. I’m needing a new book, I may just pick this one up!
Hero says
July 14, 2016 at 9:50 PMThat part intrigued me too, Brian. Martin makes a compelling argument that knowing your investment goals and future needs is far more valuable than any attempts to predict or time the market. If you do read Dollarlogic, I would love to know what you think!
Financial Slacker says
July 14, 2016 at 5:47 PMI have said it before, I hate losing more than I like winning.
Thanks for the review. I will buy the book. I’m very interested in this topic.
Hero says
July 14, 2016 at 9:49 PMMy pleasure, Dave. Needless to say, the book has had a big impact upon my view of investing. I think you’ll enjoy the book.
ZJ Thorne says
July 14, 2016 at 9:35 PMDefinitely worth checking out from the library. I want to see those charts!
Hero says
July 14, 2016 at 10:05 PMI’ll be curious to hear your thoughts on the book, ZJ. I bet you’ll enjoy it!
Millennial Moola says
July 15, 2016 at 9:31 AMI absolutely think the risk/reward tradeoff is at an extreme level right now for 10 year and longer duration bonds. We just haven’t experienced the tail event yet that could devastate bond investors
TheMoneyMine says
July 18, 2016 at 6:51 AMI have read several articles recently that were talking about ‘risk adjusted returns’ and the conclusion is also that higher risk isn’t necessarily more return or that slightly lower returns might be much safer.
I’ve had 30% bonds in my own portfolio for several years and while it smoothes the ride, it actually has not diminished returns at all.
Does the author of this book recommend any particular portfolio adjustment to reduce the risk?
Hero says
July 18, 2016 at 9:31 PMGreat question, Money Mine. Martin gets into his recommended strategies a bit, but in general he is all about reducing losses and crafting a portfolio tailored to meet a clients goals.